Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 86.060877 96.107099 106.331207 117.484129 129.277490 141.348644 154.609605
2025-08-31 69.419901 83.841355 99.135625 116.437975 135.349048 155.282023 177.773809
2025-09-07 60.694084 77.702482 96.286055 117.843240 141.923939 167.782693 197.443673
2025-09-14 54.269978 73.210804 94.454383 119.624675 148.247315 179.442137 215.683303
2025-09-21 47.555246 67.650860 90.782935 118.753160 151.092890 186.817519 228.796838
2025-09-28 41.077410 61.768729 86.227489 116.400876 151.849512 191.508041 238.602698
2025-10-05 38.865173 60.866031 87.373762 120.535432 159.921289 204.360310 257.499442
2025-10-12 36.165142 59.097117 87.274397 123.022946 165.939032 214.762051 273.533891
2025-10-19 32.337822 55.567074 84.767381 122.406045 168.131353 220.620495 284.261575
2025-10-26 28.930529 52.324728 82.409022 121.788520 170.172309 226.183281 294.548082
2025-11-02 26.416776 50.103572 81.201079 122.465427 173.665432 233.366412 306.647866
2025-11-09 23.537158 47.141826 78.860525 121.581290 175.150487 238.094300 315.815678
2025-11-16 21.295701 44.963044 77.474652 121.869539 178.072332 244.564384 327.099204
2025-11-23 18.749816 42.121199 75.049934 120.710510 179.124668 248.747434 335.656562
2025-11-30 17.304779 40.850243 74.687599 122.159887 183.369953 256.726438 348.675434
2025-12-07 16.098243 39.856416 74.642915 123.975761 188.040040 265.197451 362.268882
2025-12-14 14.196683 37.552700 72.628502 123.086634 189.224229 269.388155 370.720666
2025-12-21 12.066296 34.636125 69.578408 120.685373 188.387630 271.039610 376.071041
2025-12-28 11.837020 35.054392 71.409617 124.905634 196.043372 283.111947 393.963122
2026-01-04 11.203273 34.679117 72.027349 127.444094 201.520516 292.501402 408.627104
2026-01-11 9.867607 32.861122 70.391455 126.814600 202.849988 296.739242 417.043807
2026-01-18 8.653206 31.133185 68.803560 126.184442 204.128575 300.878367 425.314709
2026-01-25 7.817510 30.067987 68.186359 126.875195 207.109277 307.117654 436.129292